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XRP Panic Selling Surges… Can It Rebound to $15 by Year-End on Regulatory Clarity?

2026-02-16(월) 11:02
엑스알피(XRP)/챗gpt 생성 이미지

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As losses among XRP (Ripple) investors snowball and intense panic selling sweeps through the market, investor anxiety shows little sign of easing despite efforts by Ripple executives to calm the situation.

According to cryptocurrency media outlet Watcher.Guru on February 15 (local time), the price of XRP has plunged 60% from its mid-2025 peak of $3.50 to as low as $1.43. Massive investor losses are clearly reflected in on-chain data, and while experts present a wide range of year-end price targets from $3 to as high as $15, these projections have done little to quell the immediate wave of selling fear gripping the market.

Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode warns of the severity of the current sell-off. Daily selling by long-term holders who entered before November 2024 surged by 580%, rising from $38 million to $260 million since August 2025. As investors capitulate under price declines and unload their holdings, downward pressure on the market is intensifying.

In particular, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures investor profitability, has fallen below 1, reflecting prevailing market fear. This indicates that, on average, investors are selling at a loss, with more than 41% of the total XRP supply currently in a loss position. Each time the price tests the $2 level, between $500 million and $1.2 billion in capital is realized at a loss weekly, further accelerating sell-offs.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has sought to reassure the community, emphasizing that the XRP product suite will always remain Ripple’s top priority and highlighting a long-term vision including an institutional decentralized finance (DeFi) roadmap. However, XRP-friendly attorney Fred Rispoli responded skeptically, urging management to prove its commitment through actions rather than words—reflecting broader distrust across the community.

Experts note that the current downturn resembles the prolonged bottoming phase experienced between 2021 and 2022. Although panic selling continues, today’s regulatory environment and fundamentals are considerably more solid compared to the period when uncertainty surrounding the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit dominated the market. Rather than rushing to sell, investors are advised to make calm decisions aligned with their individual risk tolerance.

Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses incurred based on it. The content should be interpreted solely for informational purposes.