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As discussions over the introduction of native staking on the XRP Ledger gain rapid momentum, investors are paying keen attention to a potential vertical price surge scenario if 30% of the total circulating supply is removed from the market.
According to cryptocurrency media outlet The Crypto Basic on March 2 (local time), analysts suggest that if the staking system based on a dual-layer consensus model proposed by Ripple CTO David Schwartz is implemented, it could trigger a revolutionary shift in XRP’s price structure. Of the approximately 61.09 billion XRP currently in circulation, if 30%—equivalent to 18.327 billion XRP—is locked up through staking, the actual circulating supply in the market would sharply decline to around 42.763 billion XRP.
Such a drastic supply shock would immediately push XRP’s price up to $1.94, assuming the market capitalization remains at its current level of approximately $83.053 billion. Analysts note that the reduction in supply would go beyond a simple mathematical adjustment, influencing investors’ perception of scarcity and acting as a catalyst for price appreciation. In particular, if expectations spread that staking can generate stable rewards, selling pressure may decrease while long-term holding tendencies strengthen, potentially leading to further upward momentum.
The report projects that if the introduction of staking accelerates institutional capital inflows, XRP could break through key resistance levels between $3.50 and $5. Schwartz emphasized that “a staking mechanism would enhance network security while providing economic incentives to holders, thereby strengthening the ecosystem.” If institutional investors begin to recognize XRP as a yield-generating asset similar to Ethereum (ETH), its market capitalization itself could expand, bringing long-term price targets above $10 into view.
Looking at past cases in the digital asset market where large volumes were locked in staking, a 30% supply lock-up is expected to play a decisive role in establishing downside price resilience. Amid the accelerating institutional adoption of digital assets following the approval of spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs, the technological evolution of the XRP Ledger is emerging as a key variable in the reassessment of its asset value. Market participants are closely watching the specific voting schedule and technical implementation methods for staking, preparing for a potential supply squeeze.
The development of a staking system on the XRP Ledger is interpreted as Ripple’s strategic move to gain an edge in the competitive digital asset landscape. If the attempt to both boost value through supply control and strengthen network security succeeds, XRP could advance beyond a speculative asset to become an essential financial infrastructure asset. Investors are carefully monitoring changes in real-time on-chain data and the staking intentions of large holders, keeping a close eye on structural shifts in the market.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference purposes only and the publisher is not responsible for any investment losses incurred based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*