Dogecoin at a Critical Crossroads as Open Interest Evaporates, Launches Major Push to Defend $0.09

2026-03-03(화) 08:03
도지코인(DOGE)

▲ Dogecoin (DOGE)

Dogecoin (DOGE) is fighting a precarious battle to defend the $0.09 support level amid a cooling market marked by declining open interest and deleveraging.

According to crypto-focused media outlet The Crypto Basic on March 2 (local time), Dogecoin is trading at $0.09168, down 3.3% over the past 24 hours. The token has been moving within a narrow intraday range between $0.09068 and $0.09502, facing strong resistance around the $0.094–$0.095 zone while enduring downside pressure. Having undergone a correction of approximately 19.8% over the past 30 days, the continued downtrend is heightening investor anxiety.

Based on the William Alligator technical indicator, Dogecoin remains below the Jaw (blue), Teeth (red), and Lips (green) lines on the 4-hour chart, signaling a short-term bearish phase. However, as the moving averages gradually compress, there is speculation that downward momentum may be weakening, potentially leading to a period of consolidation. For a bullish reversal, analysts suggest that the Lips line must break above the Teeth and Jaw lines, with the price stabilizing above the indicator. Meanwhile, the Average True Range (ATR), a volatility metric similar to the Average Directional Index (ADX), has stabilized at 0.00244, indicating that market overheating is subsiding.

Open Interest data in the futures market clearly reflects the sharp cooling of market enthusiasm. After peaking at $6.01 billion in September 2025, Dogecoin’s open interest has steadily declined and now ranges between $890 million and $1.2 billion. This significant deleveraging suggests that excessive market froth has dissipated, but it also signals a lack of conviction among leveraged traders. While the reduction in aggressive position-building has eased liquidation-driven volatility, strong upward momentum is also notably absent.

Dogecoin is currently attempting to establish new support around the $0.089–$0.090 range. Experts warn that if the token fails to hold this level, it could enter a harsh downturn revisiting recent lows. Conversely, a break and consolidation above the $0.093–$0.094 resistance zone could trigger a short-term relief rally. Amid ongoing uncertainty across the broader crypto market, Dogecoin’s potential independent rebound may hinge on the timing of whale investors’ entry.

As the leading meme coin, Dogecoin is often regarded as a barometer of market sentiment. The current combination of declining open interest and price stagnation resembles the calm before a storm. Investors, while relieved by the reduced risk of leverage-driven liquidations, are maintaining a cautious stance until clear signals of a trend reversal emerge.

Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses resulting from decisions based on this content. The information provided should be interpreted for informational purposes only.

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