Bernstein: $150,000 Bitcoin Target Unchanged… When Will It Break Out of Its Trading Range?

2026-02-20(금) 09:02
비트코인(BTC)

▲ Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a consolidation phase near $67,000, forming an extremely tight trading range that analysts say is preparing for a breakout accompanied by strong volatility.

According to a February 20 report by crypto media outlet NewsBTC, Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around $66,643. This price action is interpreted as a process of compressing energy like a tightly wound spring. Market observers note that the narrower the trading range becomes, the stronger the subsequent price movement is likely to be, and investors are closely watching for a decisive inflection point that will determine direction.

Analysts at global investment bank Bernstein maintained their optimistic outlook, keeping their 2026 price target for Bitcoin at $150,000 despite a pullback from the previous high of $126,000. Bernstein cited limited outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and ongoing improvements in Bitcoin’s infrastructure, including RGB integration and the introduction of robust validation layers. These technological advances are strengthening the asset’s fundamental resilience beyond mere price action.

The broader macroeconomic environment is sending somewhat negative signals, increasing pressure on the market. Recent U.S. home sales data fell sharply by 8.4%, marking the worst figure since February 2022, while weakness across commodity markets has dampened investor appetite for risk assets. Despite these deteriorating macro indicators, Bitcoin’s ability to hold the $67,000 level suggests that sidelined capital is effectively absorbing selling pressure.

From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin’s sentiment index remains neutral, and experts advise waiting for a confirmed breakout rather than making premature predictions. The current price compression zone could trigger large-scale liquidations or a sharp rebound, with buy and sell orders tightly balanced in the order book. In particular, movement within the Ichimoku cloud reflects prevailing market uncertainty, and a wait-and-see approach is expected to dominate until a breakout occurs alongside increased trading volume.

As Bitcoin withstands downward pressure around the psychological support level of $67,000, upcoming macroeconomic announcements are expected to serve as the final piece in determining price direction. With infrastructure improvements and solid institutional demand supporting the downside, a resolution of the current technical compression could pave the way for a renewed rally toward reclaiming the $100,000 milestone. The present sluggish trading range is viewed as a necessary phase of energy accumulation ahead of a major leap.

Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only and the publisher is not responsible for any investment losses incurred based on its contents. The information provided should be interpreted for informational purposes only.

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