 ▲ Ripple (XRP) |
As institutional capital pours in, XRP (Ripple) and U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have surged in unison, with powerful technical breakout signals flashing and heralding the start of a major bull market.
According to investment-focused outlet TradingNews on March 4 (local time), XRP rose 7.42% intraday to $1.46, while three major ETF products also rallied. XRPI, listed on Nasdaq, climbed 8.29% to $8.36; Rex-Osprey’s XRPR jumped 6.39% to $11.82; and the Bitwise XRP ETF surged 7.99% to $16.35. These products remain deeply discounted from their yearly highs—by 64.5%, 54.5%, and 39.3%, respectively. With single-day trading volume reaching $39.54 million, the data strongly suggests that institutional investors have already begun positioning.
Most striking is the explosive pace of capital inflows and the tightening supply effect. The spot ETF market recorded $7.53 million in inflows on Tuesday alone, marking six consecutive trading days of net inflows and bringing cumulative assets to $1.25 billion. Net inflows this year total $153 million, with Bitwise products accounting for 79.7% of the total and leading the market. Notably, 820 million XRP have been physically locked into ETFs, significantly reducing circulating supply and intensifying upward price pressure.
Technical indicators are also more positive than ever. On the daily chart, XRP achieved a decisive breakout above $1.40, where the upper boundary of a symmetrical triangle pattern converges with the crucial 200-week exponential moving average. Analysts say that if XRP firmly holds above $1.43, it is likely to break through resistance at $1.54 and $1.57 in succession, before advancing smoothly toward $1.95—the geometric target of the symmetrical triangle pattern.
Dramatic changes in the derivatives market further support the short-term rally. XRP futures open interest, which peaked at $10.94 billion in July 2025, has since plunged to $2.11 billion. This indicates that approximately 80.7% of excessive market leverage has been flushed out, significantly reducing the risk of cascading liquidations that previously drove sharp sell-offs. In other words, the current price increase is being driven by solid spot buying rather than leverage, making the rally structurally more robust.
Adding to this momentum is the fundamental boost from integration into mainstream financial infrastructure. Hidden Road, recently acquired by Ripple, has been registered with the U.S. National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC), a move expected to position XRP beyond a speculative asset and establish it as a core bridge currency within institutional settlement networks. If XRP maintains support at $1.43, the large-scale wave of institutional adoption could accelerate a powerful rally toward a breakout above $1.95.
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