비트코인, 3월 반등에도 ‘약세장’ 경고, 왜?⋯ “4~5월 추가 하락 가능성”
[블록미디어 양원모 기자] 비트코인이 저점 이후 반등 흐름을 보이고 있지만 안심하기는 이르다는 분석이 나왔다. 2018년, 2022년 약세장에서 나타난 ‘2월 저점 → 3월 반등 → 이후 추가 하락’ 흐름과 현재 시장 구조가 유사하다는 것이다. 디지털자산 분석가 제이크 파호는 5일(현지시각) 엑스(옛 트위터)에 글을 올리고 비트코인 약세장의 전형적인 흐름을 언급했다. 그는 2018년과 2022년 시장 사이클을 예로 들며 “두 […]
XRP, 2,000개 있으면 인생역전?…2026년 가격 상승 시나리오 공개
▲ 엑스알피(XRP) 2026년 말까지 엑스알피(XRP)가 도달할 수 있는 예상 가격을 분석한 결과 2,000XRP 보유만으로도 최대 수만 달러의 자산 가치를 창출할 수 있다는 낙관적인 전망이 나왔다. 더크립토베이직은 3월 7일(현지시간) 보도에서 가상자산 전문가 스테프(Steph)의 분석을 인용해 XRP가 전체 시장 점유율을 회복할 상황이라면 전례 없는 수준의 가격 상승을 기록할 것이라고 전했다. 스테프는 현재 가상자산 […]
Was the Break Above $74,000 a Massive Trap? Market Fear as Bitcoin Forms Death Cross
▲ Bitcoin (BTC) decline / ChatGPT-generated image © As Bitcoin (BTC), often referred to as digital gold, wavers in the face of strong macroeconomic headwinds, market attention is focused on the $67,716 support level to determine whether the sharp sell-off following its brief surge past $74,000 marks the beginning of a massive downturn or a […]
Solana Sees 755% Surge in Payment Volume as Institutional Inflows Rise, Can It Reverse the Broader Downtrend?
▲ Solana (SOL) © CoinReaders Solana (SOL), long suppressed by an extended bear market, has fired a dramatic signal of revival, recording a staggering 755% surge in payment volume along with massive inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to cryptocurrency-focused outlet Bitcoinist on March 8 (local time), blockchain analytics platform Messari revealed in its […]
"USDC, 결국 테더 넘었다"…스테이블코인 거래량 판도 대역전
▲ 테더(USDT), USD코인(USDC), 달러(USD)/챗GPT 생성 이미지 USDC가 거래량 측면에서 스테이블코인 시장의 전통적 강자인 테더(Tether, USDT)를 앞지르며 디지털 자산 시장의 새로운 이정표를 세웠다. 코인텔레그래프는 3월 7일(현지시간) 보도에서 USDC의 이체 거래량이 1조 8,000억 달러를 돌파하며 사상 최고치를 기록했다고 전했다. 비자(Visa)와 블록체인 데이터 분석 기업인 앨리움 랩스(Allium Labs)가 공동 개발한 스테이블코인 대시보드에 따르면 USDC는 […]
As $1,500 Tax Refunds Roll Out in the U.S., Will They Spark a Crypto Bull Run?
▲ Bull Market An unprecedented $150 billion in tax refund liquidity, projected to be the largest in U.S. history, is expected to flow heavily into the digital asset market, potentially serving as a catalyst for a new bull run. Guy Turner, co-host of the cryptocurrency-focused YouTube channel Coin Bureau, said in a video released on March 7 (local time) that this year’s tax refund season could become a record-breaking source of liquidity due to the effects of U.S. President Donald Trump’s new tax reform bill, the “One Big Beautiful Bill.” U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant projected that between $100 billion and $150 billion in refunds will be paid out in the first quarter alone, averaging about $4,000 per household. The tax overhaul pushed by the Trump administration substantially reduced the tax burden for many households, resulting in large cash refunds this season from overpaid amounts that were not previously adjusted in payroll. According to research from Morgan Stanley, between 60% and 70% of total refunds are expected to be distributed in late March, suggesting that the market impact will become more pronounced toward the end of the month. Turner noted that while many households are likely to prioritize rent or debt repayment, asset prices are ultimately determined by where the last marginal dollar flows rather than by the average spending behavior of most households. Given the relatively low liquidity of the digital asset market, even a small proportion of inflows can generate significant price volatility. Concentrated refund payments combined with revitalized investor sentiment could create strong upward momentum. Breaking down the potential capital inflow, if just 5% of the total $150 billion in refunds enters exchanges, that would amount to $7.5 billion. Even allocating only 1% of that to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) would generate approximately $1.5 billion in new demand. In 2026, investment channels such as spot Bitcoin ETFs have become far more accessible than in the past, potentially accelerating inflows. Turner emphasized that, unlike in previous years, investors can now purchase spot Bitcoin ETFs with a single click on a smartphone, and this improved accessibility could amplify the liquidity effect. In the past, the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland published research showing a statistically significant spike in Bitcoin purchase orders matching the exact amount of stimulus payments distributed in 2021. Although only about 0.02% of the total relief funds were directed toward Bitcoin purchases, the move fostered a broader risk-on sentiment that ultimately acted as a decisive catalyst for price appreciation. This year’s tax refunds are similarly expected to ease household budget constraints and boost purchasing power for digital assets, with potentially more pronounced effects in the memecoin and altcoin markets driven by retail investors. However, rising oil prices and inflation concerns stemming from escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, along with potential sell pressure ahead of the April tax payment deadline, pose risks that could heighten market volatility. As of the end of 2025, U.S. household debt stood at $18.8 trillion, suggesting that many families may allocate refunds toward essential expenses rather than investments. The digital asset market now faces a complex environment in which the opportunity of large-scale liquidity injections coexists with geopolitical risks. Whether tax refunds will ultimately propel the market depends on investors’ willingness to take on risk. Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses resulting from it. The information provided should be interpreted for informational purposes only.
“비자·마스터카드 긴장해”⋯ AI 에이전트 결제 시대, 스테이블코인은 ‘카드 킬러’가 될까
[블록미디어 문예윤 기자] 스테이블코인이 차세대 결제 수단으로 부상하는 가운데 인공지능(AI)을 활용한 자동화 결제 시스템이 등장했다. 업계에서는 자율적으로 작동하는 AI 에이전트가 결제를 수행하고 스테이블코인이 이를 정산하는 형태의 새로운 금융 인프라에 주목하고 있다. 7일(현지시각) 관련 업계에 따르면 시트리니 리서치(Citrini Research)는 최근 AI 에이전트가 기존 카드 네트워크 수수료를 우회해 결제를 수행하는 미래 시나리오를 제시했다. 해당 분석이 공개된 직후 […]
[롤러코스터 K증시③] 국장 6000선 무너질 때 비트코인 ‘우뚝’⋯ 반등 조건은?
[블록미디어 오수환 기자] 중동 사태 여파로 국내 주식 시장이 이번 주 내내 급등락을 반복한 가운데 비트코인(BTC)은 비교적 안정적인 흐름을 유지하고 있다. 지정학적 갈등 때마다 급락했던 과거와 달리 이번에는 가격 방어에 나서는 모습이다. 시장에서는 장기간 침체를 겪었던 디지털자산 시장이 변곡점에 접근하고 있다는 분석이 나오는 한편, 전쟁 장기화 등 거시 변수에 따라 추가 변동성이 나타날 수 있다는 […]
Bitcoin Stalls Near $74,000—Will Middle East War Fears Swallow the Bull Market?
▲ The United States, Iran, and Bitcoin (BTC) / ChatGPT-generated image © Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran have once again triggered extreme volatility in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC), which had been on the verge of breaking through $74,000, ultimately falling below the $70,000 mark, heightening investor anxiety. According to DL […]
Is Ethereum in a ‘Structural Crisis’? Debate Over Short-Selling Report Intensifies
▲ Ethereum (ETH) © A critical report claiming that Ethereum’s network structure and token economy are being fundamentally shaken has reignited intense debate in the market. According to cryptocurrency media outlet Bitcoinist on March 8 (local time), investment research firm Culper Research disclosed that it has taken a short position on Ethereum (ETH) and released […]